A potential working government
labour 50 seats
NZ first 7 seats
United 3 seats
progressives 1 seat
total 61 seats plus split opposition - effectively a majority
a very mixed opposition that would never combine on a single issue result - a plausible government.
other possibility
labour 50 seats plus control of the government
greens 6 seats
maori 4 seats
progressives 1 seat
a quite far left and highly unstable government. Probably it would rely upon NZ first suport on confidence issues.
OR
labour 50 seats
greens 6 seats
NZfirst 7 seats
progressives 1 seats
coalition from hell - but more stable than the one with the maori party.
I suggest national may gain one seat on specials (shaking things up a bit)
if so there is the potential for
National 50 seats
NZ first 7 seats
Act 2 seats
United 3 seats
62 seats (a majority)
awkward but not impossible coalition
AND if the greens fail to meet the threshold
National 52 seats
NZ first 7 seats
Act 2 seats
United 3 seats
A clear majority
NZ first 7 seats
United 3 seats
progressives 1 seat
total 61 seats plus split opposition - effectively a majority
a very mixed opposition that would never combine on a single issue result - a plausible government.
other possibility
labour 50 seats plus control of the government
greens 6 seats
maori 4 seats
progressives 1 seat
a quite far left and highly unstable government. Probably it would rely upon NZ first suport on confidence issues.
OR
labour 50 seats
greens 6 seats
NZfirst 7 seats
progressives 1 seats
coalition from hell - but more stable than the one with the maori party.
I suggest national may gain one seat on specials (shaking things up a bit)
if so there is the potential for
National 50 seats
NZ first 7 seats
Act 2 seats
United 3 seats
62 seats (a majority)
awkward but not impossible coalition
AND if the greens fail to meet the threshold
National 52 seats
NZ first 7 seats
Act 2 seats
United 3 seats
A clear majority
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