election predictions

posted by me on kiwiblog

I am inclined to think the Republicans are likely to adjust their opinion more towards a more solid republican (http://www.politicalcompass.org/usprimaries2008) come election time - for example huckabee or Romney. Having said that Guliani might have enough momentum to just scrape through since he has a good odds advantage http://odds.bestbetting.com/specials/politics/usa/republican-candidate-2008
I expect Guliani to not perform particularly well in the later debates.

overall I think a Romney or Huckabee (probably the former) will just squeeze out Guliani.

I think Hillary will win easily on the other side.