Thursday, January 03, 2008


I note that pundits can (and usually do) have terrible statistical results for punditry and yet never seem to loose any of their credibility as pundits.

In any election pundits always seem to overestimate how close an election result is and over hype the chance of the under dog winning - they also over hype their own side and where they do make a call do so on worse evidence than your average joe.

I again makea call for some sort of record of pundits predictions like what David Brin calls for so that we can get these useless pundits off our screens.


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